Mid-2013 Population Estimates

mid-2013-popest-cover-pgThis release reports the mid-2013 estimates for Bradford in the context of the sub-region and historical mid-year estimates. Age structure and its distribution is explored.

Key findings

  • The rounded mid-2013 estimate for Bradford is 526,400 persons, with a median age of 35.2 years.
  • The population increased by 1,750 on the previous year’s estimate, with natural change (births – deaths) at +3,600, net internal migration -3,550 and net international migration +1,700 persons.
  • Natural change is a major driver to population growth, with international net in-migration historically significant and internal net out-migration substantial.
  • The dynamics of population change in Bradford appear to be operating differently compared to our sub-regional neighbours.
  • Bradford has a young age profile compared to our neighbours, with 1 in 4 (23.5%) of the total under 16 years.
  • The proportion aged 20 to 42 match the distribution for England, with the bulk proportionally less aged over 42 years.

To open this bulletin please click here.

Bradford’s population projected to grow to 598,000 persons by 2037

The primary purpose of the sub-national projections is to provide an estimate of the future size and age structure of the population of local authorities in England. The latest 2012-based projections released by the ONS on 29 May show Bradford is projected to be home to 598,000 people by 2037. This is a 14.0% increase or 73,400 people in the 25 year period, lower than the equivalent national increase of 16.2%.

How a population is projected to change locally depends on a number of factors that can interact and produce very different growth rates to England as a whole. The size and age structure of the population at mid-2012 is a big indicator of the future population.

2012-based-pop-proj-wy

Bradford’s population as a whole is projected to be more heavily influenced by natural change (births – deaths) into the future. In later years of the projection, negative net migration plays a larger role in moderating growth.

Local planning needs such as change in service provision often relate to particular age groups and therefore it is important to understand projected changes to the age structure when planning for the future.

ONS has produced an on-line interactive tool for local comparisons of age/sex population projections-interactive-tool-projons for each single year.

Click here to download the data or for more information.

 

 

Non-UK Born Population of England and Wales Quadrupled Between 1951 and 2011

obs-blog-ons-logoThe latest Census analysis looked at changing migration patterns over 60 years.

Migration is an important driver of population change, currently accounting for around half of the population growth in England and Wales; with natural change (births and deaths) accounts for the remaining population change. Historic census data has been used to show the growth in the non-UK born population between 1951 and 2011.

This infographic shows the top ten non-UK countries of birth in each census year since 1951.

In summary

  • Non-UK born population quadrupled between 1951 and 2011
  • Non-UK born population has become more diverse since 1951
  • Numbers of Irish-born residents in England and Wales decreased
  • Those born in India were the largest group in 2011 at 694,000
  • 10 fold increase in Polish migrants over ten years from 2001-2011

To open the analysis in full please click here.

Google Fusion Tables

obs-blog-fusiontables-postLearn how to create a choropleth map of your data and visualize it on Google Maps.

Fusion Tables is an experimental data visualization web application to gather, visualize, and  share larger data tables. The Guardian newspaper makes active use of this as part of their  pioneering data journalism work.

You can easily upload data sets from CSV, KML and spreadsheets, and visualize the data using a  variety of tools. Users can merge data from multiple tables and easily visualize large data sets  on Google Maps.

All you need is a Google Drive account to get started.

How to create thematic polygon data maps is an excellent step-by-step guide to walk you through the process of making your own maps.

Example

This Population Density map pictured (click to open) used 2011 Census table (KS101EW) data on usual resident population which was merged with an LSOA boundary file.

obs-blog-zipped

KML boundary files for Bradford

Understanding Bradford District

A new report published today provides Bradford Council and its partners, citizens and businesses with accurate and up-to-date information about the district. The report offers a descriptive analysis of the district and highlights issues and trends that need to be addressed to make Bradford a better place to live and work..  A shorter summary and ‘in your pocket’ guide are also available.

Key findings

  • With a population of 524,600, Bradford is the fourth largest district in England, after Birmingham, Leeds and Sheffield.
  • Bradford’s economy is £8.3 billion, constituting a fifth of West Yorkshire’s economic output and businesses. Between 2008 and 2011, Bradford’s growth was more than twice the regional average and also higher than UK growth.
  • Educational attainment is improving year on year with the rate of improvement for achieving five or more good GCSEs at grades A*-C including Maths and English accelerating faster than the national average.
  • Qualification levels are still lower than the regional and national averages.
  • Social work interventions regarding children in need of care and protection has fallen, with 345 referrals per 10,000 population compared to the English average of 533 referrals per 10,000 population.
  • We have a low proportion of social housing compared to regionally and nationally, but 99.9% of the stock meets the Decent Homes standard.
  • We have maintained consistent levels of resident satisfaction; the Office of the Crime Commissioner found that over the last three years the percentage of people who said they were satisfied with their local area has been between 70% and 71%.
  • Regular volunteering and civic participation are above the national averages demonstrating high levels of active citizenship.
  • Overall crime levels continue to reduce, particularly burglaries and violent crime.

Links to download :-

Summary with chapter highlights; full report including links to supporting notes; and an ‘In your pocket’ guide with key statistics from the analysis.

Population Estimates for Bradford – Mid-2012

obs-blog-ons-2The mid-year estimates refer to the population on 30 June of the reference year and are published annually. They are the official set of population estimates for the UK and its constituent countries, the regions of England and Wales and local authorities.

Mid-year population estimates relate to the usually resident population.

The mid-2012 population for Bradford is estimated at 524,619.

For further information on this release click here.